Quote:
Originally Posted by Subaruwrxfan
I thought we agreed that this ship will be arriving in Long Beach by May 12th? Although the USA Today article in the other thread posted that Subaru is forecasting west coast deliveries starting by the end of this month, this ship still would arrive in time for the original prediction of mid-May for deliveries. I don't think these cars will be sitting in port for longer than a week.
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I don't have any facts.. this is purely a guess.. But here's what I think..
A few weeks ago they predicted April 20th as a ship date. Sounds like one of the ships left on the 23rd. This is technically only one day late thanks to the weekend.
Some google-fu shows that most large container ships (and I assume car-carriers as well) can travel at about 25 knots cruising speed.. Let's factor in slow down for high traffic areas and harbor approaches and we'll knock the average down a few.. Say 22 knots. That is about 25 mph.
We know that FRS and BRZ come from the same plant, so it would make sense that they would go to the same port... Long Beach as discussed earlier in this thread. So I'm predicting LA area as destination for both cars.
5450 miles give or take.. at 25 mph = 218 hours or a little over 9 days. I think this is consistent with what Jack Hollis said at the first86 event last week.
So if the ship left on the 23rd, I would think arrival in Long Beach would be likely on May 1st or 2nd.
There is a thread in FRS section that says a guy in Portland is already expecting deliver on May 6th.. That might be possible if his car is on a truck and out of the port in a day or two.
But, let's say 1 week in port and 1 more week in transit to the rest of the midwest/west regions.. Seems to me that the "mid-May" predictions are very reasonable.