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-   -   No new BRZ/86 announcement from Tokyo? (https://www.ft86club.com/forums/showthread.php?t=137630)

LSK 11-04-2019 11:19 AM

No new BRZ/86 announcement from Tokyo?
 
I guess it wasn't ready. Or they're waiting for SEMA.





Thoughts?

Tcoat 11-04-2019 11:34 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by LSK (Post 3272640)
I guess it wasn't ready. Or they're waiting for SEMA.





Thoughts?

Be another year at least. The clickbaits guessed wrong. Again.
SEMA is an aftermarket and specialty products show so don't expect to see manufacturers concepts released there.

LSK 11-04-2019 11:41 AM

i figured it seemed a little soon after seeing those test mule spy shots.

Tcoat 11-04-2019 12:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by LSK (Post 3272653)
i figured it seemed a little soon after seeing those test mule spy shots.

If they were even test mule spy shots for a new gen. Could have been simply trying some new aero for a special edition. That of course would not get them as many clicks so they had to make something up that would grab attention.

Jdmuscle 11-04-2019 12:53 PM

I see the following timeline even if this happens..

2020: possibly a prototype debut (more than likely it’ll be in 2021)
2022: second almost production ready prototype
2023: production debut with an on sale date late 2023 or early 2024

This is if economy doesn’t take a down turn and everything stays normal. To be honest I still don’t see this becoming a reality although we have some confirmations of a new model in the works.

Opie 11-04-2019 01:26 PM

New Crosstrek/Impreza announced 3/2017 went on sale 9/2017
New Ascent announced 11/2017 went on sale 10/2018
New Forester announced 3/2018 went on sale 11/2018
New Outback/Legacy announced 4/2019 went on sale 10/2019
New WRX/STI ?
New Hybrid ?
New BRZ ?

I would expect the WRX/STI announcement by March/April 2020 along with the Hybrid...BRZ will be after that, probably March/April 2021

Dadhawk 11-04-2019 01:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Jdmuscle (Post 3272685)
2023: production debut with an on sale date late 2023 or early 2024

Current production model will be 11.5 years old at that point. I guess that makes sense for limited production, but man does time fly, and no torque dip!

extrashaky 11-04-2019 03:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dadhawk (Post 3272707)
Current production model will be 11.5 years old at that point. I guess that makes sense for limited production, but man does time fly, and no torque dip!

And my nearly six year old car still looks current.

That's the problem when you create a winner. How do you change a good thing without fucking it up?

Dadhawk 11-04-2019 03:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by extrashaky (Post 3272745)
And my nearly six year old car still looks current.

That's the problem when you create a winner. How do you change a good thing without fucking it up?

Absolutely.

ka-titties 11-04-2019 03:53 PM

I'd be surprised if a new BRZ/86 ever happens, let alone in the next 3-4 years. The current one didn't drum up the necessary sales to warrant a new one. Plus with the impending global economic downturn, the chances turn to almost zero.

Red-86 11-04-2019 06:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ka-titties (Post 3272752)
I'd be surprised if a new BRZ/86 ever happens, let alone in the next 3-4 years. The current one didn't drum up the necessary sales to warrant a new one. Plus with the impending global economic downturn, the chances turn to almost zero.

Where are people getting this? Toyota and Subaru have already officially announced they are developing the next gen twin. It’s in their forward corporate plan. Yes, there is always the possibility of the program being cancelled, but if you are betting with your own money, place it on the official manufacturer announcements rather than guesswork on forums.

I also don’t understand the claims that the twins are a sales failure. They have sold a lot of them, and certainly more than other cars like the 370Z. In fact, at least in Australia, they have sold about ten times more twins than Celicas and Supras combined, from what I’ve read. The twins provide Toyota in particular with a unique product at the price point, which has a reverse halo effect on their cooking models (obviously the new Supra provides a halo at the other end). I will be surprised and obviously disappointed if the new twins are cancelled.

HKz 11-04-2019 06:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ka-titties (Post 3272752)
I'd be surprised if a new BRZ/86 ever happens, let alone in the next 3-4 years. The current one didn't drum up the necessary sales to warrant a new one. Plus with the impending global economic downturn, the chances turn to almost zero.

um, in 3 years they sold as many FRS/86/BRZs worldwide as Honda did with the S2000 over 10 years...the twins sold better than most if not all of Toyota's previous sports cars..and historically Toyota rarely discontinues a model after just 1 generation. Plus, talk about backlash after the countless times Toyota folks have mentioned having a dedicated 3 sports car lineup.

strat61caster 11-04-2019 06:49 PM

Was never going to happen this year, they're milking the mk1 for at least 9 years if not 10, I bet the Zupra development took longer than they wanted and we'll be waiting 2 years for a late 2021 debut and the car will hit showrooms in early 2022. I could be wrong though and they might have had Subaru re-working the car for a 2020/21 debut/release, or they push it another year (maybe Nissan drops a bomb next year with a good 370Z replacement? Hyundai replaces the Genesis with something competent?) Only a few hundred people know for sure and they're paid well enough not to leak it.

+1 on the 86 meeting sales expectations, it's the best selling Japanese RWD sporty car since the NB Miata. It's even keeping pace with the ND which is mighty impressive despite being a car that's 5 years older with much less advanced engineering put into it.

AnalogMan 11-04-2019 07:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Jdmuscle (Post 3272685)
I see the following timeline even if this happens..

2020: possibly a prototype debut (more than likely it’ll be in 2021)
2022: second almost production ready prototype
2023: production debut with an on sale date late 2023 or early 2024

This is if economy doesn’t take a down turn and everything stays normal. To be honest I still don’t see this becoming a reality although we have some confirmations of a new model in the works.

Unfortunately, I think you're absolutely right on the timing of a new BRZ/86. The simple reason is, it's just not that important of a car to Toyota.

Toyota is a gigantic, sclerotic behemoth of a company. Despite being the largest car company on Earth, they're very conservative and cautious. They're chasing The Big Sales. Camrys. SUVs. Cars that sell in volumes of hundreds of thousands per year. They sell about 2% as many 86's as they do Camrys. Think about that. Two percent. Annual 86 revenues for them equal about a week of Camry sales.

You have to give them credit for being interested enough in niches to even make a sports car at all, let alone two (BRZ/86 and the Supra). But it's just not a high priority for them.

Even though the BRZ/86 is really a Subaru creation, Toyota is calling the shots. They're 10 times bigger than Subaru. They put up half the money for the project. They recently announced increasing their ownership stake in Subaru. To give credit where credit is due again, the whole BRZ/86 thing may not have even happened without Toyota's money. As much as I and all of us love Subaru, they might not have been able to dedicate the resources to creating the BRZ on their own.

But when you dance with an 800 lb gorilla, you're finished dancing when the gorilla is.

In general, as I've said before, the absolute rules about new cars are:

1) it always takes longer than you think,
2) it's never quite as good as you hoped, and
3) even with Japanese cars, do you really want to buy the first model year?

I think we should be happy that they've announced that there will be a new BRZ/86. Toyota could have just as easily canned it now that they have another 'halo' sports car (albeit one that's just a BMW Z4 hardtop). Unless something untoward happens, like a prolonged global recession, the car will happen. Just not that quickly.

In the meantime, let's celebrate the current BRZ for what it is. A rare offering in the car world, a simple, analog-feeling, lightweight sports car, in the spirit of the pure sports cars of the 'good old days' some of us grew up driving and that made us fall in love with cars. Opel GT. MBG. Triumph TR6 and Spitfire. Sunbeam. Fiat 124 and even 850. Karmann-Ghia. Alfa. Austin-Healy. Jensen-Healy... and others long gone.

I wanted a modern equivalent to one of those, and the only options available today are the BRZ and Miata. But the BRZ has power, speed, safety, and comfort unimaginable to drivers of those 60's/70's cars. Plus it's just gorgeous. The next iteration will be an incremental advance on the current car, not a ground-breaking revolution. It'll have a little more power, more angular creased styling, and that's probably about it.

So let's enjoy the current car, which I think is still relevant and just as much fun today as when it was introduced in 2013 (and world's better than the 1970 and 1972 Opel GT's I used to drive back in the 70's, and which this car reminds me of). The new BRZ will arrive at some point. If you find it irresistible, buy it. Until then, this one is plenty fun for me.

Tcoat 11-04-2019 08:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ka-titties (Post 3272752)
I'd be surprised if a new BRZ/86 ever happens, let alone in the next 3-4 years. The current one didn't drum up the necessary sales to warrant a new one. Plus with the impending global economic downturn, the chances turn to almost zero.

Can you show me fields of unsold Twins? Did they take some to the crusher? If not then they planned how many to make and sold what they made. They were never looking for Corolla sales numbers from them. Sales numbers are meaningless unless you have access to their five year business plan and can show they missed the target. The number they make is not changed on the fly so the numbers were set at least 3 years before each model year. If people wanted more they could not have built them. If they wanted less there would be left overs parked everywhere. As it is they seemed to have guessed pretty much bang on.

ElijahF 11-04-2019 08:59 PM

1 Attachment(s)
Quote:

Originally Posted by Tcoat (Post 3272843)
Can you show me fields of unsold Twins? Did they take some to the crusher? If not then they planned how many to make and sold what they made. They were never looking for Corolla sales numbers from them. Sales numbers are meaningless unless you have access to their five year business plan and can show they missed the target. The number they make is not changed on the fly so the numbers were set at least 3 years before each model year. If people wanted more they could not have built them. If they wanted less there would be left overs parked everywhere. As it is they seemed to have guessed pretty much bang on.

Possibly.

strat61caster 11-04-2019 09:13 PM

lol 50ish BRZ sitting at what I'm guessing is the largest Subaru dealer in NA (the one in Colorado) while over 100k are happily on the road is nothing.

Tcoat 11-04-2019 09:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by strat61caster (Post 3272862)
lol 50ish BRZ sitting at what I'm guessing is the largest Subaru dealer in NA (the one in Colorado) while over 100k are happily on the road is nothing.

In winter! Probably all gone that spring.

new2subaru 11-04-2019 10:32 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tcoat (Post 3272869)
In winter! Probably all gone that spring.


Isn't that a BRZ WORLD meet?

soundman98 11-04-2019 11:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ElijahF (Post 3272852)
Possibly.

that's heuberger.

and if they've got overstock, it's their own fault.

i wanted to pick up my car in person, only asked that they ensure they have 'a' 6-speed, WRB limited in stock in 3 months(i needed to make the necessary plans 3 months in advance). they wouldn't guarantee anything, even with a hefty deposit. they were only interested in selling a car within the same month.

HaXx 11-04-2019 11:46 PM

Preach brotha!
Quote:

Originally Posted by AnalogMan (Post 3272825)
Even though the BRZ/86 is really a Subaru creation

not calling you a liar, but is that true? i always thought it was a toyota with a subaru engine? that makes me happier knowing that my brz is more subaru than i had previously thought.

soundman98 11-05-2019 12:46 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by HaXx (Post 3272908)
Preach brotha!


not calling you a liar, but is that true? i always thought it was a toyota with a subaru engine? that makes me happier knowing that my brz is more subaru than i had previously thought.

this is like arguing that you're more like your dad while sounding like your mom.

86MLR 11-05-2019 01:37 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by HaXx (Post 3272908)
Preach brotha!


not calling you a liar, but is that true? i always thought it was a toyota with a subaru engine? that makes me happier knowing that my brz is more subaru than i had previously thought.

Toyota D-4S, Toyota badges, ummmmmmm, Toyota oil filter, ummmmmmmmmmmmmmm, user manual, ummmmmmm, nope, that's all I can think of.

Pretty much every panel and other part that is labeled by the car brand has Subaru on it

It doesn't really matter which badge is on it, in the big picture, they are both the same.

Toybaru/Subyota

Jdmuscle 11-05-2019 08:44 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by HaXx (Post 3272908)
Preach brotha!


not calling you a liar, but is that true? i always thought it was a toyota with a subaru engine? that makes me happier knowing that my brz is more subaru than i had previously thought.

Toyota did more with this collaboration than they did on the new Supra. But it’s more a Subaru than Toyota.

It’s a modified Impreza chassis with all things Subaru. Toyota’s contribution was fuel injection, transmission, differential and the design of the interior / exterior.

g e 11-05-2019 04:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by AnalogMan (Post 3272825)
Unfortunately, I think you're absolutely right on the timing of a new BRZ/86. The simple reason is, it's just not that important of a car to Toyota.

Toyota is a gigantic, sclerotic behemoth of a company. Despite being the largest car company on Earth, they're very conservative and cautious. They're chasing The Big Sales. Camrys. SUVs. Cars that sell in volumes of hundreds of thousands per year. They sell about 2% as many 86's as they do Camrys. Think about that. Two percent. Annual 86 revenues for them equal about a week of Camry sales.

You have to give them credit for being interested enough in niches to even make a sports car at all, let alone two (BRZ/86 and the Supra). But it's just not a high priority for them.

Even though the BRZ/86 is really a Subaru creation, Toyota is calling the shots. They're 10 times bigger than Subaru. They put up half the money for the project. They recently announced increasing their ownership stake in Subaru. To give credit where credit is due again, the whole BRZ/86 thing may not have even happened without Toyota's money. As much as I and all of us love Subaru, they might not have been able to dedicate the resources to creating the BRZ on their own.

But when you dance with an 800 lb gorilla, you're finished dancing when the gorilla is.

In general, as I've said before, the absolute rules about new cars are:

1) it always takes longer than you think,
2) it's never quite as good as you hoped, and
3) even with Japanese cars, do you really want to buy the first model year?

I think we should be happy that they've announced that there will be a new BRZ/86. Toyota could have just as easily canned it now that they have another 'halo' sports car (albeit one that's just a BMW Z4 hardtop). Unless something untoward happens, like a prolonged global recession, the car will happen. Just not that quickly.

In the meantime, let's celebrate the current BRZ for what it is. A rare offering in the car world, a simple, analog-feeling, lightweight sports car, in the spirit of the pure sports cars of the 'good old days' some of us grew up driving and that made us fall in love with cars. Opel GT. MBG. Triumph TR6 and Spitfire. Sunbeam. Fiat 124 and even 850. Karmann-Ghia. Alfa. Austin-Healy. Jensen-Healy... and others long gone.

I wanted a modern equivalent to one of those, and the only options available today are the BRZ and Miata. But the BRZ has power, speed, safety, and comfort unimaginable to drivers of those 60's/70's cars. Plus it's just gorgeous. The next iteration will be an incremental advance on the current car, not a ground-breaking revolution. It'll have a little more power, more angular creased styling, and that's probably about it.

So let's enjoy the current car, which I think is still relevant and just as much fun today as when it was introduced in 2013 (and world's better than the 1970 and 1972 Opel GT's I used to drive back in the 70's, and which this car reminds me of). The new BRZ will arrive at some point. If you find it irresistible, buy it. Until then, this one is plenty fun for me.

The 86/BRZ will see a gen 2. I read an interview featuring a senior Toyota exec and he talked about a change in design language for many of their cars. They want to build more exciting products. Even their latest fuel cell vehicle is way snazzier than the outgoing model.

Tcoat 11-05-2019 04:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by HaXx (Post 3272908)
Preach brotha!


not calling you a liar, but is that true? i always thought it was a toyota with a subaru engine? that makes me happier knowing that my brz is more subaru than i had previously thought.

I find it fun when people debate over who "makes" the car. Subaru and Toyota don't "make" much of anything. They assemble parts made by other companies. Many of those parts overlap several car companies not just the two.


https://www.ft86club.com/forums/showthread.php?t=71898

Tcoat 11-05-2019 09:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Jdmuscle (Post 3272986)
Toyota did more with this collaboration than they did on the new Supra. But it’s more a Subaru than Toyota.

It’s a modified Impreza chassis with all things Subaru. Toyota’s contribution was fuel injection, transmission, differential and the design of the interior / exterior.

It is "based on" the Impreza chassis it is not a "modified" one. They didn't just take one and chop it up they simply used the base design to come up with a similar but new one. Sort of like a movie that is "based on" a book but the only similarities between the two are the names of the characters.

ToySub1946 11-05-2019 10:35 PM

Heuberger Subaru currently has ONE Brz in stock...LOL !

Spuds 11-05-2019 11:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tcoat (Post 3273281)
It is "based on" the Impreza chassis it is not a "modified" one. They didn't just take one and chop it up they simply used the base design to come up with a similar but new one. Sort of like a movie that is "based on" a book but the only similarities between the two are the names of the characters.

It's based on the same "platform" as the Impreza. Even more abstracted.

Tcoat 11-06-2019 07:20 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Spuds (Post 3273310)
It's based on the same "platform" as the Impreza. Even more abstracted.

Accurate


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