| Tcoat |
03-23-2018 11:05 AM |
Quote:
Originally Posted by venturaII
(Post 3062700)
So, I keep hearing about the silicone issue, and the longer I have my car (2013), the more worried I am that I'm sitting on a time bomb. Is there a range of production dates or serial numbers that were affected by this issue, or has that not been figured out? I've got ~48K miles, run 5W-30 with a Forester oil cooler, and change it at 5K miles. 2-3 track nights/year, and maybe a few autocrosses sprinkled in there. The rest of my driving is pretty sedate - commuting a few miles to work in traffic, running errands, etc. I'm wondering if it'd be worthwhile to drop the pan and see if there's any silicone worms gathered around the pickup screen..?
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First off I want to be clear that is only a thesis formed by a few of us and has never been confirmed or even acknowledged in any form by Subaru. Myself and others have followed the failures very closely over the years but we only have the limited data of this forum in which to form that thesis. That said, I am very comfortable in putting my thoughts out there.
Soooo... If I was in your shoes I would not be worried at all by this point in time.
Here is why:
1) The chunks that were found were exactly that, they were very large. They could block the pickup but the more common issue was they seemed to gather at the #4 bearing channel. Most of the failures involved that #4 bearing and since it is the last in line it is more than coincidence. A good and relatively simple check would be to pull the pan and check the pickup although you should be able to see pieces in an oil change if they are that bad.
From one thread:
Oil at pickup
http://www.ft86club.com/forums/attac...1&d=1445310200
Blocked channel
http://www.ft86club.com/forums/attac...1&d=1445310217
2) Most of these failures happened at under 50K miles. If you drive the car hard enough the stuff would travel through the system pretty quick and either block the channels or get caught up in the filter or intake. Any of these would reduce the overall oil pressure to a point that you may be alerted but the more likely result is sudden, catastrophic failure. By this point you should have changed to oil enough that unless it is stuck in a channel you would have removed all or most of the chunks.
3) Although I am convinced that this is the main failure mode there were certainly some others. The first tune had some VVT issues which could cause low oil pressure. This were corrected by an ECU update back in late 13. This was a known cause for a couple of failures but I would hope everybody has had the flash done by now since it usually threw CELs like mad. The other cause that was reported several times was low oil levels. Now of course the guys with that issue always swore that they checked it but I have some doubts as to how accurate those statements were. These guys usually came here looking for support for their court cases but never, ever came back to say how they made out. Unfortunately that info my be skewed since we only have one side of the story on each case.
This is my take on it based on the info available and I still maintain that if it is likely to happen it already would have. The reported cases have dropped off to almost nothing in the last year.
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