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#29 | |
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![]() On another note I read that this car is based on the 15th gen Crown. |
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#30 |
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So tacky but accurate?
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#31 |
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#32 | |
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There are some Lexus cues in it (Especially the instrument binnacle area...looks straight out of Lexus) and the fact that the Mirai started off as an oddball looking FWD stretched Prius tank and all of a sudden did a complete 180 on a RWD platform with proper RWD size and proportions and relatively good looks makes that rumor believable. They wont sell a ton of these because you need a hydrogen station infrastructure to even consider one. And that's only found in some parts of California and i think only in Quebec here in Canada. |
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#33 |
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^I think there were some rumors in that ballpark going around on the Lexus forums, but I believe the "inside people" said that was just a silly rumor. With the ES growing in size and maybe offering AWD in the near future that it would essentially fill in the gap left by the GS.
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#34 |
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#35 | |
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https://pressroom.toyota.com/toyota-...lagship-sedan/
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#36 | |
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Good job making a real car out of it at least. Wish we had hydrogen stations in more places. |
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#37 | ||
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We don’t even have enough here in California—just 42. The first station opened May 2014 and in six and a half years we have 42. We have around 2k Tesla Supercharger stations and over 16k stalls on top of tens of thousands of Tesla Destination chargers, and there are universal 3rd party fast chargers too. Tesla went from the first six to 2k in eight years. At the rate hydrogen stations are going up, it will take 300 years to match the number of Tesla Superchargers now. I know Toyota hasn’t sold many Mirais, but it seems like a large investment for something that isn’t well supported with infrastructure. Tesla alone has 10x the stations now of what they plan to make in hydrogen stations by 2025! I feel like unless hydrogen picks up steam quickly, which is unlikely, and unless battery development hits a bottleneck soon, which is unlikely, the argument for whether EVs or hydrogen cars will prevail in the near future is all but concluded. The production numbers now are so stark, as to already reach that conclusion, but this information about the state of the stations is just another nail in the coffin. Quote:
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#38 | |
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Musk took the right approach by eliminating (or at least minimizing) the infrastructure argument by building it into the cost of the cars and leveraging the fact you could fuel at home easily for most persons to fill the gap. Traditional manufacturers were expecting the infrastructure to be provided by others, just as oil companies provide their refueling infrastructure now. Had Tesla, or Toyota for that matter, done the same thing for hydrogen instead of, or in addition to electric, I have to wonder who would be ahead?
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#39 | |
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42 hydrogen pumps (assuming 1 pump per station) is equivalent to 756 superchargers (assuming one plug per supercharger). How many pumps does the average hydrogen station in CA have? |
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#40 | |
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I agree on this, plus it could grow organically because it takes no longer than filling a large SUV (my Suburban takes 5 to 10 minutes to fill if near empty). You could literally retrofit one or two pumps at existing stations and provide the infrastructure needed (OK, not exactly that simple but it follows the same business model).
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Olivia 05/03/2012 - 01/06/2024. 231,146 glorious miles.
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#41 | |
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#42 | ||
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Most people using Superchargers aren’t needing a full charge from a depleted battery, nor are they fully charging the car. Maybe they have 15 minutes to kill, so they charge half a charge. And of course, it is getting faster and faster to charge these cars, but hydrogen charging is fixed. Meanwhile, home charging is plentiful, Supercharging stations are plentiful, Superchargers at the Supercharging stations are plentiful. 3rd party fast chargers and slower destination chargers are even more plentiful. They are cheap to install, relatively speaking. Many cities are integrating chargers into malls and business parking structures. In short, the difference is stark. San Diego has one hydrogen fuel station. How many gas stations? We have more gas stations in Sonoma County and maybe within a 15 mile radius than all hydrogen fuel stations in California. Currently it is estimated that California has 10,266 public fuel stations, so hydrogen has far to go. Meanwhile, there are over 16,320 Superchargers in California, many other fast chargers and over 50k level 2 chargers, not counting home chargers. The other thing is hydrogen fuel stations are more expensive than charging stations, and they are investing more in charging than hydrogen. It’ll be good to have both, but it is clear hydrogen is in a huge deficit. Quote:
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