06-10-2021, 03:01 PM | #57 | |
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06-10-2021, 03:53 PM | #58 | |
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06-10-2021, 06:15 PM | #59 | |
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I don't know if it is a driving factor, or at minimum a major driving factor, but it is definitely there. I think demand is there, but supply hasn't kept up with demand, so there is a major housing shortage. Part of that housing shortage is because we have a greater amount of income inequality, which has lead to more people with money investing in property, but what is worse is that many people aren't renting out those homes to long term renters, but are using AirBnB to rent out the homes. This has raised the average price of a rental unit, which in turn has raised the average price of homes, which is a cyclical effect. That, fueled with the fear that home prices will only go up, so it is best to buy now or else pay more, continues to feed the demand cycle. I think the bubble would have burst, and could still burst, if the WH ends protections on home loans that have defaulted. This would likely result in the rich or investment firms buying up more properties, so I am against this. Newsom says foreclosed homes will need to be on the market for 45 days before firms can make an offer. I don't know if this is going to happen, but I don't think people with multiple homes or firms or foreign investors should get first dibs on California's real estate, so I like this idea. The best way out of this cycle is to build more homes. Unfortunately, that requires either capital with a predictable/likely return on the investment, or it requires governments to foot the bill, or it requires governments to guarantee a predictable rate of return for investors if the market takes a shit. Realistically, the whole industry thinks this is a bubble that will burst, so they won't be building too aggressively. Moreover, investors know that buyers can't endless foot the bill on more expensive properties, despite the feds lowering interest rates continually, so that is keeping them from building too. Most of the new development in my area are large track homes on small parcels. This has the highest rate of return on investors, but it means the average home prices are beyond most people and beyond the entry level of small families, and it means people are living shoulder to shoulder up each other's noses. The government could step in and build cheap housing like in other countries that have a far higher ownership rate, but the well-off and rich don't want to see that happen because that could destroy their property value or the value of their rental, so that idea doesn't get much support.
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06-10-2021, 10:53 PM | #60 | |
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my dad's been flipping and renting houses in the chicagoland area for the last 30 years. he's never had a renter that has maintained the house in a way that is even remotely acceptable, 'acceptable' generally being defined as owning even one type of cleaning device... decades worth of typical garbage piled up the in the garage. clean a kitchen? haha, just let the grease roll off. faucets leaking for months(if they called thursday, he'd have looked at it by saturday, but they never call) until he does an inspection a year later, and by then, it's rotted through the cabinet and the subfloor, with mold on the wall behind the cabinet... it's common practice in my area for landlords to remove the doors from the rooms and closets before the tenant moves in, and after the rental inspection. if they don't, it's quite common for the doors to be ripped off the hinges in unfathomable ways, or the tenants seem to enjoy punching through them for some reason. in order to live in one of the houses he'd previously rented out, i'd need to entirely renovate all of it all over again just to clean things up. it's actually impossible for me to imagine anyone renting a house and doing things like cleaning the floor after spilling pop in the kitchen, or even wiping down the windows from time to time.
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06-10-2021, 11:34 PM | #61 | |
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06-11-2021, 12:16 AM | #62 | |
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And why would anyone put the time and effort into maintaining a house they don't even live in? |
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06-11-2021, 12:54 AM | #63 |
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Do not buy a fixer upper.
Do not have a rental. |
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06-11-2021, 01:14 AM | #64 | |
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I don't get your second statement. The owner rents the house out to tenants who pay off the home over time and then the owner moves in when they retire. People do this all the time. Typically, it isn't done through renting. Typically, someone buys a starter home, but then they may have enough capitcal and income to buy a second home instead of selling because they don't need the capital from the sale of the first home. They live in the second, bigger home and rent out the apartment, condo or small home, and then when they retire, they sell the big home and downsize back into their original home. The renters and owner maintains the property, and when the owner returns, they can do any upgrades they want. Typically, the home will see less upgrades and renovations over the life of the 30 years with renters than with the owners, so when the owner moves in, any improvements or renovations will be easily afforded from their invested savings.
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06-11-2021, 01:16 AM | #65 |
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I would wait it out if you can. Market is stupid. Wait for prices to drop.
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06-11-2021, 09:00 AM | #66 | |
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You ever had to maintain one house, much less 2? I know people that do it and all I hear is complaints about it being a PITA, especially when renters leave and you need to attract new ones. If you are going that route, you are treating the house like an investment, which seems to be against what you were saying before. |
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06-11-2021, 01:19 PM | #67 |
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WOW! Irace86.2.2, that post was quite a dissertation -
The first part of your strategy is where you lost me. "Buy the house you want to retire in". Let's say a person is about 25-30 years old when they are ready (prepared) to buy their first house and they are about 65-70 years old when they retire. How many people have any idea where they want to retire to at age 25? |
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06-11-2021, 01:29 PM | #68 | |
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06-11-2021, 02:21 PM | #69 | |
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I leave rental properties better than when I moved in. That isn’t the typical case, but it really depends on the home and the type of occupants. Even if the home isn’t maintained well cosmetically, at the end of 30 years the cosmetics can be taken care proportionally cheaply relative to the gains from this strategy. I listen to a few finance channels. One guy rents, but he owns seven different rental properties. Renting affords him more flexibility, saves him money and fits his lifestyle. Buying a home doesn’t need to be for everyone, even if they could afford it.
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06-11-2021, 02:31 PM | #70 | |
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The point is that most people can afford one mortgage, and they have enough savings to maybe cover short periods between renters. Qualifying for a third or fourth home is harder. Buying one then renting it out immediately brings in a second source of income: the renters. People who find the means to repeat this process have multiple investment houses with more passive income. Again, the point was to stimulate conversation on alternatives to buying a home in the typical way.
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