Quote:
Originally Posted by Irace86.2.0
and action to transform energy networks and infrastructure has the potential to spur economic growth and create high quality jobs, so it is not all doom and gloom.
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In the book "The Limits To Growth" published 1972 there were 5 variables (population, food production, industrialization, pollution, nonrenewable natural resources) and twelve scenarios put forward. The "Business as Usual" scenario is the one that most closely matches our current position.
There has been 2? 3? follow ups (The Limits to Growth Revisited, Limits and Beyond: 50 years on from The Limits to Growth, what did we learn and what’s next? and
Update to limits to growth: Comparing the World3 model with empirical data ) and one of the continuing themes is running out of non renewable resources.
"Although this result does not necessarily indicate an
impending collapse, both scenarios display a halt in growth and subsequent decline in
industrial capital, agricultural output, and welfare within three decades. This suggests that
humanity is on a path to having limits imposed on itself, rather than consciously choosing
its own. "
From pdf from above link.