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Old 11-15-2021, 02:06 PM   #110
Dadhawk
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blighty View Post
Um no. Lets use two fruit sellers who both sell red apples in the same market.

Fruit seller A has 50,000 customers who are average of 52, and 70% buy red apples

Fruit seller B has 50,000 customers who are average age 32 and 30% buy red apples.

The apples are the same, or thereabouts, the only real difference is the age.

Like I said, it just makes it more likely that older people drive more automatics. This is not hard.
Let's beat this dead horse one more time....

With only those facts you still don't know how many older persons bought cars, ugm... apples

For example, Fruit seller B may have a very even distribution of ages so there are just as many under 32 as over 32. (25,000 below, 25,000 above)

Fruit Seller A may have a more narrow distribution ( say 25,000 are exactly age 29 and 25,000 are exactly age 75, averaging to 52).

We now have an even split of 50,000 people below age 32 and 50,000 above age 32 even though statistically it looks different. Even then, we don' know what percentage of B are "older" depending on where you put that stake in the ground.

Without the actual age data and split, you really can't be sure. You can make a logical leap either way. Is it likely your assumption is correct? Maybe. Then again mine could be too.

Then there's the whole how skewed things have to be for the average purchaser of a vehicle to be 32. Remember the base isn't 1, it's likely 18, and more like 25 before you get into significant numbers. Less than 1% of cars are purchased by someone under 25 and half the cars in the US are owned by people over the age of 60.

So, in the end, yes, it's possible more older people own AT cars than younger people, because they own more cars than younger people do but even that is a guess without the specific data.
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Last edited by Dadhawk; 11-15-2021 at 03:40 PM.
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