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So let's think about it for a bit.
What we'd like to do is to specify a model that would incorporate as many potential causes/explanations for the number of excess deaths as possible.
What sorts of things/events could we include?
Natural disasters?
Famines?
unrelated healthcare system collapses (we know many health systems collapsed - due to the covid crush) but might there be non-covid related instances?
Outbreaks of other diseases? Which ones?
Covid aside, what about 2020 was special? What would make so many more people die of cardio-pulmonary (or other) diseases than would normally be expected?
What do you guys think?
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