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If it's just you and one other passenger (so no need for 2+2 layout), I'd go ND2 RF so you get the best of both worlds: convertible life in the summer (you won't realize how amazing this is until you try it) and hard-top security wherever you park (plus protection from the elements in the winter).
With winter tires (which you should buy regardless of what car you choose) RWD is absolutely fine (if not desirable for the fun factor) in winter climates and snow (I drove my BRZ for 3 years in Toronto, including bi-weekly 250km commutes in the snowbelt).
The higher redline and improved power of the ND2 seal it for me - in stock form, it would outperform my S2000 while also having a better interior.
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