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Old 04-17-2020, 11:59 AM   #37
Tcoat
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Irace86.2.0 View Post
I get that it was your graph, but he drew the same conclusion.



The short term changes in cash flow should be managed with stimulus, loans and savings. Obviously, there are less people and dealerships buying cars right now, but that shouldn't persist because people will return to work. There could be a sling-shot effect with a dip in purchases then a boost/surge in purchases. It all depends on how everything goes.

I think the big difference between 2008 is that there were massive number of home foreclosures that wiped out people's savings, uprooted them from their homes, altered the market, resulted in long term job loses, etc. Those foreclosures killed the cash flow of the banks, which fundamentally changed their ability to lend and bla bla bla. The long term purchasing power of the market was deeply impacted. I just disagree that the 2008 recession was "a little blip compared to this".
You don't get it at all do you? I am talking that to the AUTO INDUSTRY 2008 was a blip. We were more than happy to keep making cars then there were just few costumers.
It isn't a matter of sales returning. The damage is already done. Even if everybody runs out and buys a new car as soon as they can there will be none to buy. In the mean time the cash is just pissing out on the ground as the companies try and scrabble to stop it.
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