Quote:
Originally Posted by pkolanko
At 4-5 years old, you are basically trying to sell/trade-in a vehicle at it lowest cost. The depreciation curve is extremely sharp up until that time and then it starts to slow down and eventually, if it's a low production, quality car, go back up. Just look at the honda s2000 as a perfect example of what the twins will do. You can basically sell a 10-year old s2000 with low miles in stock condition for what you paid for it. Once production ceases on the twins, which it most likely will in the near future, you can wait a few years and that value will go back up. People love nostalgia and 10-15 years from now, all the 20-somethings will be in their 30s-40s with a surplus of cash and wanting to relive their youth when they had an inexpensive car that was super fun to drive.
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The Honda S2000 managed to sell over 10,000 units in the states in only one of its production years, and just barely so.
https://www.google.com/search?q=hond...=1520358397942
The Toyota has done this every year except 2016 and 2017, often by quite a bit. They've also already out-sold the S2000 over significantly fewer years even if production were to stop right now. Notice, this isn't even including BRZ sales figures.
http://www.goodcarbadcar.net/2012/05...sales-figures/
It is going to take quite a bit of extra demand to get the twins to the point where they hold their value like an S2000. I don't see that happening when the closest thing to a competitor that the S2000 has is the slower, less desirable Miata. Meanwhile, the Genesis coupe and 240SX both sold in large numbers and both fit directly into the smaller fixed roof coupe category, with other options like pony cars and used 911's if one wants to branch out a little more.
The only way any trim of twin is ever going to be worth something is if they offer a version with forced induction or a larger engine, and they keep the production numbers down.