Quote:
Originally Posted by pasternak
I agree. Gasoline powered cars will be novelties in 20 years.
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I stand to differ. I think that a significant number of new vehicles offered will be electric or plug-in hybrid by that time, like maybe 1/3.
This will take a big chunk out of carbon emissions and hopefully allow the planet to recover somewhat from the C02 greenhouse effect.
There is no reason for the petroleum industry to whither down to nothing so soon, though I have no doubt that within a century combustion will be a rare source of energy in the developed world. Certain vehicles, like aircraft for example, will always need chemical energy to run. Nobody could imagine a large size electric aircraft unless there is a huge technological breakthrough that allows a much much bigger form of safe electrical energy storage.
Batteries are just a stop gap solution anyway unless new tech comes along. The world's lithium resources are somewhat finite and could be quickly depleted otherwise.
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