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I bought my '04 BMW 325i new and didn't buy any extended warranty. I've also done 100% of the maintenance on the car from day one, no one has laid hands on it but me. I'm at 180,000 miles at the moment and I sincerely believe one of the reasons it has run so well is that I've kept it out of the dealership's hands and ignored BMWs maintenance schedule (which is virtually nothing and a joke). It has run flawlessly and I've never even seen a check engine light. It's spooky how reliable it has been.
Of the few times I've taken a car to a dealership it came back to me with more problems "discovered". "Should have gotten an extended warranty" they'd say... yeah - right.
Edit: If you're going to buy a high-end vehicle with failure prone big ticket items as Scubaru mentions above, it might make sense if you're keeping past the normal warranty period.
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