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-   -   New ICE Vehicles Banned in California by 2035 (https://www.ft86club.com/forums/showthread.php?t=142501)

Irace86.2.0 08-19-2023 01:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lantanafrs2 (Post 3590278)
Avoid being French fries

Being French fries?

But we love French fries in America

https://media2.giphy.com/media/v1.Y2...lLuo/giphy.gif
https://media2.giphy.com/media/v1.Y2...yhjH/giphy.gif

Irace86.2.0 08-19-2023 01:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lantanafrs2 (Post 3590268)
Burn less gas, eat less animals and get your vaccines.

I couldn't agree more :cheers:

Irace86.2.0 08-19-2023 02:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Irace86.2.0 (Post 3590251)
CATL launches superfast charging LFP battery Shenxing; mass production by end of year

https://www.greencarcongress.com/202...0817-catl.html



CATL is the major supplier for Tesla of LFP iron batteries and supplies 35% of batteries with BYD at less than half that, so they do well. These are going into production this year. Things could get interesting. Currently a Model 3 will add 175 miles in 15 minutes, so 250 miles in 10 minutes is a 50% improvement to both. LFP are good batteries in terms of temperature, longevity, safety, etc, so this is big news.

I’m also interested to know more about the superconducting compound. I don’t know if we are really talking about a room temperature superconductor, or if we are just talking something that conducts far better than average.

Looks like Tesla and Ford are working to build new battery factories in America specifically to license CATLs LFP batteries, which could mean that the US might be getting this tech in years to come. A 4C battery with 450 miles of range and 10 minute charging to add 250 miles that is more cold weather tolerant and lasts longer with less risk of fires, and that is cheaper and that isn't dependent on rare metals like cobalt would be a game changer.


Tesla Follows Ford To Produce LFP Batteries in the US Using CATL-Licensed LFP Chemistry

https://www.autoevolution.com/news/t...ry-212727.html

KiK 08-20-2023 05:54 PM

I find it hilarious seeing people on this forum running decatted loud cars with low AFR tunes, big turbos, making unnecessary power numbers preaching how all of this political BS is necessary.

I'd be more open to some takes here if the hypocrisy wasn't so high. The Toyota Prius exists for almost 26 years yet some people here willingly bought a sports car (which is not a necessity) and them modded the shit out of it.

Good technology does not need legislation to force people to adopt it. That's a fact.

Forcing everyone to change to EVs against their will is no different then switching all straws to disgusting paper straws that ruin how your coke tastes and feels while doing jack for the environment in a measurable way.

Dadhawk 08-20-2023 09:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by KiK (Post 3590406)
I'd be more open to some takes here if the hypocrisy wasn't so high. The Toyota Prius exists for almost 26 years yet some people here willingly bought a sports car (which is not a necessity) and them modded the shit out of it.

As many people "need" a Prius as they "need" a 86. Neither is a necessity, there is always something more efficient.

By the way when I went from my previous daily driver to the 86 I almost doubled my fuel economy. The FRS is my Prius.

Irace86.2.0 08-20-2023 11:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by KiK (Post 3590406)
I find it hilarious seeing people on this forum running decatted loud cars with low AFR tunes, big turbos, making unnecessary power numbers preaching how all of this political BS is necessary.

I'd be more open to some takes here if the hypocrisy wasn't so high. The Toyota Prius exists for almost 26 years yet some people here willingly bought a sports car (which is not a necessity) and them modded the shit out of it.

Good technology does not need legislation to force people to adopt it. That's a fact.

Forcing everyone to change to EVs against their will is no different then switching all straws to disgusting paper straws that ruin how your coke tastes and feels while doing jack for the environment in a measurable way.

I don't really see anyone making personal attacks on people's choices. I don't really think trying to rate each other's carbon footprints is very effective. I could drive a turbo K24 swapped 86 as my daily (I do), but I could have a smaller carbon footprint than a Prius owner. I drove 5k miles last year, which is about a third of what the average person drives, so my 20-25 mpgs might be equal to a person with a car that gets 60-75 mpgs, in terms of carbon footprint. Obviously, it could be better if I drove a Prius, maybe. Some have compared a Prius to a Jeep in terms of lifetime carbon emissions at one point in time, so maybe not, but the Prius is probably better now. Things can be complicated. Maybe I pay extra on my PGE for renewably resourced energy (I do), so does that mean I can drive the car I want instead of a Prius? I don't think blaming individuals for system and societal problems is the most effective way to get change. It can work, but that typically doesn't win a debate, nor is it very effective over a larger audience in getting the point across about this issue related to the changes happening in our near future.

Would you pay taxes if you didn't have to? Would you drive slow if there were no speed limits everywhere? Do you think industries wouldn't pollute more and resort to dangerous manufacturing processes in an effort to help out their shareholders more if regulations didn't exist? People clearly don't need trucks and SUVs, but that is what everyone is buying. Maybe people don't always align their interests what is best for their family, health, society, etc. A treadmill is a good piece of technology, but apparently a couch, ice cream and a TV is better technology for most Americans. Get the point? If not, I'll elaborate.

EVs will be cheaper, faster, easier to maintain, last longer, be more reliable, be more enjoyable to operate (for the majority of people) than ICEs, but a change to EVs won't happen fast without investment and encouragement. We are still in the innovators stage at 2.2% of cars being EVs, despite the Model 3 and Y being the most popular cars; they and EVs are still a fraction of total cars sold. Like you may remember from chemistry, the movement of products to reactants is moving from a state of stability to stability (happiness, you could say like from ICEs now to EVs in the future with EVs being cheaper, better, etc, like how reactants like to be at a lower energy state), but it is the transition that is unpleasant and energy intensive. It takes a lot of energy to go from reactants to products, but that transition can be sped up with an enzyme that catalyzes the reaction. In this case, the government is that enzyme that is speeding things to a better (inevitable) future. It would happen eventually on its own, but estimates suggest that waiting would be more expensive.

Private investment can be much slower than private investment with the addition of more government investment. Surprise, surprise! For instance, the government has invested a lot in solar in terms of creating more demand through tax incentives (which leads to more private investment), through R&D grants and through creating more demand through direct purchases in energy projects. I posed this in the Expert Prognosis For The Planet thread, but solar is down to $13.32/MWh, which is a fraction of nuclear and fossil fuels, and it use to be over $1000/MWh, so the investment seems to have paid off.

https://i0.wp.com/www.business-plann...tion_curve.jpg

https://nesslabs.com/wp-content/uplo...rgy-banner.png

https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikiped...energy.svg.png

Arthur-A 08-21-2023 03:35 PM

A lot of sects and cults were founded in California, lol.

Irace86.2.0 08-22-2023 03:09 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Arthur-A (Post 3590505)
A lot of sects and cults were founded in California, lol.

Far more outside of it :cheers:

LRNAD90 08-22-2023 09:20 AM

Sadly, Maryland is pushing to do the same..

Wish people understood this is not about the environment, but whatever I guess..

https://governor.maryland.gov/news/p...te-Change.aspx

Dadhawk 08-22-2023 12:39 PM

On a related note, and not sure if this is a good sign, a bad sign or just a sign it has become normalized but Woot has Lectron EV chargers and converters on sale today in "Tools and Gardens".

Irace86.2.0 08-22-2023 01:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by LRNAD90 (Post 3590562)
Sadly, Maryland is pushing to do the same..

Wish people understood this is not about the environment, but whatever I guess..

https://governor.maryland.gov/news/p...te-Change.aspx

It is definitely more than just the environment, several of which reasons are mentioned in the article.

Irace86.2.0 08-22-2023 02:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dadhawk (Post 3590582)
On a related note, and not sure if this is a good sign, a bad sign or just a sign it has become normalized but Woot has Lectron EV chargers and converters on sale today in "Tools and Gardens".

You have probably heard of Moore's Law, but have you heard of Wright's Law? Wright's Law basically says that a doubling of production leads to a 20% drop in price. Prices of EVs and EV products should drop over time like we see of many technologies.

https://canadiancor.com/wrights-law-...ct-the-future/

The prices of batteries will continue to drop as the industry gets more and more mature. The price drop has been $53,400 for a 50kWh pack in eleven years. We should see the cost of the rest of the car drop too as sales increase, but specific components like the motors should drop, wiring should drop, especially when the switch to 48v systems, etc. Over time, the material choices and improvements in technology should either enhance the car or make the cars cheaper and cheaper like we have seen so far or like we have seen with solar. Even though solar is mature, prices keep dropping and innovation is still going strong; solar just saw an efficiency breakthrough that will increase their energy generation by 50-100%, so as cheap as they have become, they will be getting even cheaper.

A price drop of the batteries to $100/kWh is the predicted price that puts the vehicles at price parity with ICEs. Currently, the market shows 3% of new car sales were EVs, so following Wright's Law, if that doubles to 6% then a 15-20% price drop, and doubles to to 12% then another 15-50% drop, doubles to 24%, doubles to 50%, doubles to 100% then the cost of a battery should drop from $127 per kWh to $41.6-$56.4 per kWh. This would drop the price of producing the 50 kw\Wh battery by $4k-4.5k.

As an industry, all cars should be getting cheaper if they all move to 48v, all move to gigacastings, all move to more automation, etc, which is where things seem to be heading. But EVs should see the most gains in price drop over legacy vehicles. There is still a lot of development to be made with cheaper materials for batteries, smaller motors that are more powerful like the radial flux motors, drop in electricity for charging, availability of superchargers, etc., besides the drop due to scales of volume. In aggregate, the cost to own an ICE versus EV will be growing wider and wider with the EV the clear winner.

https://cdn.statcdn.com/Infographic/...rmal/7713.jpeg
https://parkers-images.bauersecure.c...ices-bnef2.jpg
https://cdn.arstechnica.net/wp-conte...01-800x600.png

LRNAD90 08-22-2023 07:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Irace86.2.0 (Post 3590589)
It is definitely more than just the environment, several of which reasons are mentioned in the article.

If EVs are so wonderful, and the answer to everyone's dreams, government would not need to mandate the end of ICE vehicle production, nor provide hefty incentives to purchase EVs.

The model know as a Free Market would drive the change, but the change is not being driven by people's choice, it's being driven by government mandates.

Hate to break it to everyone, its not about cleaner air, lower instances of "respiratory and cardiovascular illness and associated lost work days" or better lower cost living for anyone..

I hope you are not going to tell me next that people had the choice of being vaccinated too? Sure, if you didn't mind loosing your livelihood, freedom to travel or be provided healthcare, and being labeled as the reason Covid continued to spread...

:rolleyes:

Lantanafrs2 08-22-2023 08:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by LRNAD90 (Post 3590562)
Sadly, Maryland is pushing to do the same..

Wish people understood this is not about the environment, but whatever I guess..

https://governor.maryland.gov/news/p...te-Change.aspx

How does one "combat the EFFECTS of climate change "? I just make sure my ac is well maintained.


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