Toyota GR86, 86, FR-S and Subaru BRZ Forum & Owners Community - FT86CLUB

Toyota GR86, 86, FR-S and Subaru BRZ Forum & Owners Community - FT86CLUB (https://www.ft86club.com/forums/index.php)
-   Other Vehicles & General Automotive Discussions (https://www.ft86club.com/forums/forumdisplay.php?f=6)
-   -   New ICE Vehicles Banned in California by 2035 (https://www.ft86club.com/forums/showthread.php?t=142501)

NoHaveMSG 06-22-2023 06:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by new2subaru (Post 3585011)
This is a company truck that I'm currently driving. It happens to be a 1/2 ton. I have access to it when needed. I've been driving a truck all my life until the last 8-10 years. I have a Juke, a Mini and the FR-S. I prefer smaller cars. More fun :) However, the truck is far more comfortable on long drives. Boring, but comfy.

Back to the work trucks. We have 5 pickups in the fleet. all 3/4 ton or heavier. I WISH and EV could replace some of them but they can't. Not yet anyways. We haul and tow heavy loads and the range wouldn't work.

IMHO, the governing bodies should have focused more on Hybrids and not solely on EV's. I think we'd be further ahead and it would be easier for people to adopt.

The Ford Maverick, while not a full size truck, get 37mpg combined and 42 highway.

They are going to Maverick's for my friends work trucks, they have Ram 1500's right now. Big construction company, these are just for sales reps and management.

A few of the guys I know tried other options.

The Colorado with the baby Duramax, too small of a bed and not enough towing capacity.

1/2 ton Chevy with 3.0 Diesel V6, not arrived yet. 9500lb towing capacity for a "1/2 ton."

Ecoboost F-150 3.5, surprisingly good power but gets hot on long grades and with heavy load and not really enough towing capacity.

Transit with 3.5 Ecoboost, same as above.

Irace86.2.0 06-22-2023 07:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by new2subaru (Post 3585011)
IMHO, the governing bodies should have focused more on Hybrids and not solely on EV's. I think we'd be further ahead and it would be easier for people to adopt.

The Ford Maverick, while not a full size truck, get 37mpg combined and 42 highway.

Hybrids didn’t do well for many reasons: it was hard to justify the extra cost unless someone drove enough; they didn’t retain their retail value on the used market; the 10-20% gain in efficiency is 2-4mpgs for a vehicle with 20mpgs; turbo diesel option was better with sometimes better mileage; performance went down sometimes and not up.

Our Q5 has a hybrid and turbo diesel option on top of the 3.0 SC V6 and turbo four cylinder. The hybrid was better, but not drastically better. The hybrid was 24/30. The standard four cylinder was 20/28. Our SC 3.0 is 18/26. The diesel is 24/31, making it the most fuel efficient. The Audi Q4 e-Tron EV is 100/89. It is not even in the same ballpark.

Larger batteries with at least a day’s range of 50-75 miles with a range extending ICE that is a hybrid or EV, meaning attached or unattached to the powertrain, respectively, might have been the thing to push, but EV tech wasn’t there until Tesla, and many people were not ready for a BMW I3 type vehicle; Tesla changed a lot.

new2subaru 06-22-2023 08:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Irace86.2.0 (Post 3585020)
Hybrids didn’t do well for many reasons: it was hard to justify the extra cost unless someone drove enough; they didn’t retain their retail value on the used market; the 10-20% gain in efficiency is 2-4mpgs for a vehicle with 20mpgs; turbo diesel option was better with sometimes better mileage; performance went down sometimes and not up.

Our Q5 has a hybrid and turbo diesel option on top of the 3.0 SC V6 and turbo four cylinder. The hybrid was better, but not drastically better. The hybrid was 24/30. The standard four cylinder was 20/28. Our SC 3.0 is 18/26. The diesel is 24/31, making it the most fuel efficient. The Audi Q4 e-Tron EV is 100/89. It is not even in the same ballpark.

Larger batteries with at least a day’s range of 50-75 miles with a range extending ICE that is a hybrid or EV, meaning attached or unattached to the powertrain, respectively, might have been the thing to push, but EV tech wasn’t there until Tesla, and many people were not ready for a BMW I3 type vehicle; Tesla changed a lot.

https://www.thedrive.com/news/42020/...conomy-numbers

The hybrid is almost 30% more efficient. Again, if the governing bodies focused on hybrids first I think we would be further ahead. They could have just as easily mandated this instead of an unrealistic EV target. People would be far more acceptable to EV's after driving a hybrid as well. It would have been much easier for the automakers to comply with.

The goals are exceeding our abilities. Infrastructure is going to be a huge problem. The electrical grid is already tired and will need some serious improvements. In the end, electricity is going to be very expensive and so will car ownership. Round round we go...

My 2 cents

Irace86.2.0 06-22-2023 09:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by new2subaru (Post 3585026)
https://www.thedrive.com/news/42020/...conomy-numbers

The hybrid is almost 30% more efficient. Again, if the governing bodies focused on hybrids first I think we would be further ahead. They could have just as easily mandated this instead of an unrealistic EV target. People would be far more acceptable to EV's after driving a hybrid as well. It would have been much easier for the automakers to comply with.

The goals are exceeding our abilities. Infrastructure is going to be a huge problem. The electrical grid is already tired and will need some serious improvements. In the end, electricity is going to be very expensive and so will car ownership. Round round we go...

My 2 cents

Yeah, 30% with a hybrid plus CVT. The CVT does a decent few mpgs too. When Subaru switched to CVT their mpgs jumped up. The Maverick is a Civic hybrid in truck form. I think it is nice they did this as an option, but I don’t know how a cab on frame 4x4 would do.

With the Q5, the hybrid was slower to 60 and was less efficient than the diesel option. Hybrids can be made to be faster, and they can be made to replace larger engines that would otherwise be much worse on fuel efficiency, but this is 30% more efficient, not 300-400% more efficient like the Q4 eTron. It is night and day different. If someone pays more for a hybrid, they didn’t know if they would earn that money back and then some unless they were super-commuters. With EVs, the savings on fuel and return is easier to calculate, IMO. Sometimes smaller engines and hybrid powertrains weren’t delivering real world savings; they were only better on emissions and EPA fuel economy testing:

https://www.edmunds.com/car-news/lon...10k-miles.html

I’ll say this again for the 100x: the goals include infrastructure expansion, so they don’t exceed our projected abilities; infrastructure growth peaked at higher rates in the past, which suggests we can build it much faster if we have the demand, and it also means there will need to be another point where it must rise faster to replace retiring infrastructure; there are existing contracts and energy coal and nuclear plants that will be replaced with cheaper green energy in time; it is cheaper than what we built in the past, so prices should be a net drop when factoring in that and with exchanging oil for electricity; electricity won’t go up if supply and demand stay balanced; a Tesla Model 3 is currently cheaper than a $26k Camry with incentives, and it is even cheaper when refueling and cost of ownership is factored in, so in time, prices will drop even more with more economy options and cheaper batteries coming available; if you can handle less range, the car will last much longer than ICEs making long term ownership also cheaper.

new2subaru 06-22-2023 11:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Irace86.2.0 (Post 3585036)
Yeah, 30% with a hybrid plus CVT. The CVT does a decent few mpgs too. When Subaru switched to CVT their mpgs jumped up. The Maverick is a Civic hybrid in truck form. I think it is nice they did this as an option, but I don’t know how a cab on frame 4x4 would do.

With the Q5, the hybrid was slower to 60 and was less efficient than the diesel option. Hybrids can be made to be faster, and they can be made to replace larger engines that would otherwise be much worse on fuel efficiency, but this is 30% more efficient, not 300-400% more efficient like the Q4 eTron. It is night and day different. If someone pays more for a hybrid, they didn’t know if they would earn that money back and then some unless they were super-commuters. With EVs, the savings on fuel and return is easier to calculate, IMO. Sometimes smaller engines and hybrid powertrains weren’t delivering real world savings; they were only better on emissions and EPA fuel economy testing:

https://www.edmunds.com/car-news/lon...10k-miles.html

I’ll say this again for the 100x: the goals include infrastructure expansion, so they don’t exceed our projected abilities; infrastructure growth peaked at higher rates in the past, which suggests we can build it much faster if we have the demand, and it also means there will need to be another point where it must rise faster to replace retiring infrastructure; there are existing contracts and energy coal and nuclear plants that will be replaced with cheaper green energy in time; it is cheaper than what we built in the past, so prices should be a net drop when factoring in that and with exchanging oil for electricity; electricity won’t go up if supply and demand stay balanced; a Tesla Model 3 is currently cheaper than a $26k Camry with incentives, and it is even cheaper when refueling and cost of ownership is factored in, so in time, prices will drop even more with more economy options and cheaper batteries coming available; if you can handle less range, the car will last much longer than ICEs making long term ownership also cheaper.

I've heard this 100x over and I call BS. Maybe in CA? It will come at a massive cost and it will be the taxpayer/end user that pays for it. It will not be accomplished here, I'm sure. We can't keep up with housing, transit and roads. Their goals just don't line up!

https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/pow...cles-1.6440595

These plans are set 4 years at a time, if you know what I mean. They've done squat in the last four/eight. Maybe next time...;)

Irace86.2.0 06-23-2023 03:30 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by new2subaru (Post 3585040)
I've heard this 100x over and I call BS. Maybe in CA? It will come at a massive cost and it will be the taxpayer/end user that pays for it. It will not be accomplished here, I'm sure. We can't keep up with housing, transit and roads. Their goals just don't line up!

https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/pow...cles-1.6440595

These plans are set 4 years at a time, if you know what I mean. They've done squat in the last four/eight. Maybe next time...;)

Technically the government doesn’t need to do anything, but they should, since they are speeding a process before it would happen naturally. Personally, I think it should come from taxes paid progressively and not a flat fee/tax to end users on an electricity bill. Maybe the top 1% can pay since they have stolen/hoarded $50 trillion from the bottom 90%.

https://time.com/5888024/50-trillion...ality-america/

Private companies typically provide utilities. The government issues grants, subsidies and tax breaks. They lease or sell government land. Occasionally they are more directly involved in energy production and owe the rights to the energy production, but I believe this is the exception and not the rule.

As prices go up, the private sector will invest in projects to make money. The more prices go up, the faster people invest, which eventually lowers prices until investment equalizes and prices stabilize around demand. Government investment keeps prices down by creating greater supply. Subsidizing is progressive taxation that doesn’t effect the end user as much too.

One way to expand energy production without expanding the grid is each home and business having solar and batteries to power their homes, businesses and cars without add power stations and transmission lines. This is why all new homes need solar in California. The good and the bad and what’s needed and what we have done and what’s possible and what is realistic and what is unknown:

https://calmatters.org/environment/2...ric-cars-grid/

new2subaru 06-23-2023 08:29 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Irace86.2.0 (Post 3585060)
Technically the government doesn’t need to do anything, but they should, since they are speeding a process before it would happen naturally. Personally, I think it should come from taxes paid progressively and not a flat fee/tax to end users on an electricity bill. Maybe the top 1% can pay since they have stolen/hoarded $50 trillion from the bottom 90%.

https://time.com/5888024/50-trillion...ality-america/

Private companies typically provide utilities. The government issues grants, subsidies and tax breaks. They lease or sell government land. Occasionally they are more directly involved in energy production and owe the rights to the energy production, but I believe this is the exception and not the rule.

As prices go up, the private sector will invest in projects to make money. The more prices go up, the faster people invest, which eventually lowers prices until investment equalizes and prices stabilize around demand. Government investment keeps prices down by creating greater supply. Subsidizing is progressive taxation that doesn’t effect the end user as much too.

One way to expand energy production without expanding the grid is each home and business having solar and batteries to power their homes, businesses and cars without add power stations and transmission lines. This is why all new homes need solar in California. The good and the bad and what’s needed and what we have done and what’s possible and what is realistic and what is unknown:

https://calmatters.org/environment/2...ric-cars-grid/

I understand and agree with a lot of what you're saying but most of what we hear is political grandstanding and no action. I believe all of our power generation is owned by the crown. Distribution can be private. The private sector will have their hand out...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ontari...20of%20Ontario.

I do not believe for one minute that we're prepared for this in my area. If they want solar panels used they need to start the incentive programs back up. We had a very successful one and it was canceled a while back. Want EV's in the driveway, you'd better start working on the lines right now. Insurance companies are now saying they won't allow charging in underground parking structures. Hmmm, where to charge them when living in a condo in downtown Toronto? They can't and this is where they are needed the most.

All of these problems can be overcome but I literally see no plan at this point in time.

MyHybridBurnsGasAndTires 06-23-2023 11:33 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lantanafrs2 (Post 3584983)
^Are you being paid to do this?


no that's the worst part of this and the musk fellatio routine, he's doing it for the love of simping

Irace86.2.0 06-23-2023 12:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MyHybridBurnsGasAndTires (Post 3585080)
no that's the worst part of this and the musk fellatio routine, he's doing it for the love of simping

Ad hominem attacks are because you have weak arguments for your positions. The future is what it is. There is nothing anyone can do to avoid it, so people need to drop the boomer mentality and move forward. I have a K24 turbo swap on my car and a supercharged SUV and a sport bike, but I see where the future is going. I can hold onto ICE/classics until the day I die if I want, and I might do that, but I can’t deny where the car industry is headed for all brands.

Dadhawk 06-23-2023 01:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Irace86.2.0 (Post 3585085)
...so people need to drop the boomer mentality and move forward. ....

OK, (whatever generation you are) what does any of this have to with being a "boomer" and what does "boomer" mentality even mean?

.

Dadhawk 06-23-2023 01:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Irace86.2.0 (Post 3585085)
Ad hominem attacks are because you have weak arguments for your positions. The future is what it is.

If we've learned nothing from sci-fi, the future is never set. It can change today, tomorrow, or yesterday. All you got to do is run fast enough...

It wouldn't take much to knock us off the EV trend path. A breakthrough in hydrogen, a geopolitical situation that makes raw materials difficult, expensive or impossible to get.

Are we heading the non-petrol route? Sure, and we should be. Is there a clear path forward, no, not really. There is a current path, but it could branch at any time.

Arthur-A 06-23-2023 01:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MyHybridBurnsGasAndTires (Post 3585080)
no that's the worst part of this and the musk fellatio routine, he's doing it for the love of simping

Given that musk is among those hoarders/stealers makes it even more funny, lol.

Dadhawk 06-23-2023 02:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Arthur-A (Post 3585097)
Given that musk is among those hoarders/stealers makes it even more funny, lol.

This is way off topic, but I think guiding part of some of this wealth transference is based on the change from analog to digital. To become a railroad robber baron there was a lot more physical attributes to get there and little if any of it had to do with perception.

Now, an individual came become extremely wealthy off of a company with no real physical assets. For example, it took a lot more effort, labor, salaries, etc for the Vanderbilts to become wealthy than it for the founders of today's company where valuation is based as much on perception as it is hard assets.

Just my $0.02 worth.

(There is also the "issue" of how you define "1%". If you are talking globally, something like 35% of the US population fits into the 1% category. All it really takes is a net worth of about $1.1M, or basically the price of a paid for house in much of California).

Irace86.2.0 06-23-2023 02:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dadhawk (Post 3585095)
OK, (whatever generation you are) what does any of this have to with being a "boomer" and what does "boomer" mentality even mean?

.

https://theoccidentalnews.com/opinio...ration/2899726


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 11:27 AM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.
User Alert System provided by Advanced User Tagging v3.3.0 (Lite) - vBulletin Mods & Addons Copyright © 2024 DragonByte Technologies Ltd.


Garage vBulletin Plugins by Drive Thru Online, Inc.