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-   -   Really need ADVICE: Buy out LEASE? Or Lease New Car again? (https://www.ft86club.com/forums/showthread.php?t=93600)

PoRco 08-19-2015 02:06 PM

Really need ADVICE: Buy out LEASE? Or Lease New Car again?
 
So, my 3-year lease has to come to an end, but I still really love this car. Usually it'd be a no brainer to by out this car considering the mileage is really low (only 30k on it), but I've been getting some mixed opinions.

Here is my situation:

1)I have 2013 model. Buyout is around 17k+taxes
2) I will most likely (90% chance) be moving in 2-3 years. (Either from Ottawa-->Vancouver , Or Ottawa--> where MBA takes me)
3) I have the Argento. I love it. Not so sure about the new "Steel"
4) I have cosmetic damage on the rear. (Scrape of some sort)
5) Dealers are saying they can let me walk away with no costs since mileage is low (I still think they come out ahead, regardless of cosmetic damage)

I've never had to go through the ordeal of trying to sell off a car before. Some are claiming that in around 5 years my car is gonna be worth only around 5k =/ Which I find hard to believe.

What do you guys think I should do?

Let's say I value peace of mind (warranty) and ability to walk away as long as the hit isn't more than 5k. Is it better to lease again then?

Any input/advice whatsoever will be greatly appreciated!

PoRco

RickyRacer 08-19-2015 02:21 PM

the cost of your lease was 13k for 3 years. roughly

do you want to pay that again for a rental when you can own the car for only 4k more? even if it only sells for 5k you still come out 1k ahead.

the car will probably be around 10k in 5 years anyways.

I say you should buy it out. @ 17k, you won't lose much if you need to sell it in a year or so for a new job anyways. Actually, considering youre payments, you will probably owe less than 15k on the car in a years time and sell it for just as much if not more.

SquadRogue 08-19-2015 02:23 PM

No way! This car is a classic.

Tcoat 08-19-2015 02:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RickyRacer (Post 2362667)
the cost of your lease was 13k for 3 years. roughly

do you want to pay that again for a rental when you can own the car for only 4k more? even if it only sells for 5k you still come out 1k ahead.

the car will probably be around 10k in 5 years anyways.

I say you should buy it out. @ 17k, you won't lose much if you need to sell it in a year or so for a new job anyways. Actually, considering youre payments, you will probably owe less than 15k on the car in a years time and sell it for just as much if not more.

This^^^
With one qualifier.
It is impossible at this point to tell what the value will be in 5 years. The future value of these cars depend heavily on model changes in a refresh (if ever there is one), overall availability or even if discontinued. If they drop them the relative scarcity of them in Canada could drive the price through the roof. If they come out with a super duper 300 hp, turbo, AWD version (they wont but if they did) the price could plummet. The actual value will probably be somewhere in between the extremes but is potentially so variable that I would not even consider what it is worth that far down the road in making my decision.

Veloist 08-19-2015 03:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PoRco (Post 2362648)

Let's say I value peace of mind (warranty) and ability to walk away as long as the hit isn't more than 5k. Is it better to lease again then?

You can buy out the car & purchase an extended warranty since you're probably still in the effective warranty date range. The only time a new lease would be more financially economical is if you were to lease either a cheaper car or a car with a crazy high residual. Don't forget, insurance is usually higher on a leased vehicle too.

If you like the car and aren't cross-shopping anything else, then you should just buy out the car. KBB rates these cars at $18-$19k with 30k miles if you were to sell it private party, so you have to think of it as buying a pre-owned FR-S for $17,XXX. Dealerships will probably be selling these for close to 20k-21k.

Packofcrows 08-19-2015 03:21 PM

Buy if you like it. Loved it.

Sell if you willing to wait 2-3yrs with hopes new FRS 2017-2018 will have a good improvement.

I'd buy one, but not 2013, personally.

MokSpeed 08-19-2015 03:24 PM

Sounds like they're wanting you to "walk away" from the cosmetic damages in an effort to convince you to lease a new vehicle or potentially buy from them. Given that fact, you're no longer upside down on your investment and as you've stated it's still low mileage so I'd buyout the lease. In most cases it's always better to own than rent. Also another thing to take into consideration is the MY. Correct me if I'm wrong, but the 2013s are the first MY of the car so they have more known issues than later models?

RickyRacer 08-19-2015 03:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MokSpeed (Post 2362751)
Sounds like they're wanting you to "walk away" from the cosmetic damages in an effort to convince you to lease a new vehicle or potentially buy from them. Given that fact, you're no longer upside down on your investment and as you've stated it's still low mileage so I'd buyout the lease. In most cases it's always better to own than rent. Also another thing to take into consideration is the MY. Correct me if I'm wrong but don't the 2013s are the first MY of the car so they have more known issues than later models?

I own a MY13 and the only problems its caused me are my own fault (see my rocker panel thread :cry:)

Besides that.. its been nothing but pleasure.

Then again, i keep up with my maintenance religiously on any car i own.

PoRco 08-19-2015 03:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RickyRacer (Post 2362667)
the cost of your lease was 13k for 3 years. roughly

do you want to pay that again for a rental when you can own the car for only 4k more? even if it only sells for 5k you still come out 1k ahead.

the car will probably be around 10k in 5 years anyways.

I say you should buy it out. @ 17k, you won't lose much if you need to sell it in a year or so for a new job anyways. Actually, considering youre payments, you will probably owe less than 15k on the car in a years time and sell it for just as much if not more.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tcoat (Post 2362705)
This^^^
With one qualifier.
It is impossible at this point to tell what the value will be in 5 years. The future value of these cars depend heavily on model changes in a refresh (if ever there is one), overall availability or even if discontinued. If they drop them the relative scarcity of them in Canada could drive the price through the roof. If they come out with a super duper 300 hp, turbo, AWD version (they wont but if they did) the price could plummet. The actual value will probably be somewhere in between the extremes but is potentially so variable that I would not even consider what it is worth that far down the road in making my decision.


Really appreciate the replies guys! I have more clarity now.

The way I see it now, and please correct me if I'm wrong, is that even if I DO buy it out (and assuming all things remain the same in the market, i.e no turbo and same availability) then I'd be coming out a couple thousand dollars ahead? (I'd be buying it out at 17k+ taxes, this closer to 18.5k)

I forgot to mention, that if I buy it out, I'm definitely gonna be fixing the cosmetic damage on the back (which may ring me 1k$) It's just been bothering me way too much and my heart pains when I see it.

Also, (just as another posted pointed out) if I get the extended warranty for 2k$, that's another additional cost.

Hmm, my total costs are now looking more like 21k for this car. Not bad tbh.

So it's THAT vs a brand new FRS at another 3 year lease!

(Oh btw, I'm getting the 1k student rebate this time , since I just completed my masters.)

Decisions decisions..

MisterSheep 08-19-2015 03:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MokSpeed (Post 2362751)
Correct me if I'm wrong, but the 2013s are the first MY of the car so they have more known issues than later models?

http://www.ft86club.com/forums/showthread.php?p=2342147

Check out this thread on this exact topic.

PoRco 08-19-2015 03:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Veloist (Post 2362748)
You can buy out the car & purchase an extended warranty since you're probably still in the effective warranty date range. The only time a new lease would be more financially economical is if you were to lease either a cheaper car or a car with a crazy high residual. Don't forget, insurance is usually higher on a leased vehicle too.

If you like the car and aren't cross-shopping anything else, then you should just buy out the car. KBB rates these cars at $18-$19k with 30k miles if you were to sell it private party, so you have to think of it as buying a pre-owned FR-S for $17,XXX. Dealerships will probably be selling these for close to 20k-21k.

Yes, I just spoke to the dealer about the warranty! It's around 2.4k for 150k and 4 years (something like that)

PoRco 08-19-2015 03:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MokSpeed (Post 2362751)
Sounds like they're wanting you to "walk away" from the cosmetic damages in an effort to convince you to lease a new vehicle or potentially buy from them. Given that fact, you're no longer upside down on your investment and as you've stated it's still low mileage so I'd buyout the lease. In most cases it's always better to own than rent. Also another thing to take into consideration is the MY. Correct me if I'm wrong, but the 2013s are the first MY of the car so they have more known issues than later models?

Yeap, they're leveraging the cosmetic damage to get me to buy from them. They get gain nothing from me returning the car. It's only toyoto that benefits , if I'm correct . Oh, and you raise a valid point about the 2013 models

Quote:

Originally Posted by MisterSheep (Post 2362769)
http://www.ft86club.com/forums/showthread.php?p=2342147

Check out this thread on this exact topic.

Wow! Thanks for this thread.

And yes, I've had tail light issues too. Got that fixed.

Going into first does feel clunky sometimes, especially when I compare this to my friends ford.

This is my first car and first MT, so I dont have much to compare it too!

MisterSheep 08-19-2015 03:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PoRco (Post 2362773)
Yes, I just spoke to the dealer about the warranty! It's around 2.4k for 150k and 4 years (something like that)

four years starting from when you bought it? I have five more years left on my warranty and I do not believe it's an extended warranty..7 year, 100K miles

strat61caster 08-19-2015 03:43 PM

Since the payoff is pretty much what you'd pay if you bought it outright in the first place and you'd be hard pressed to find a cheaper way into the seat of one (used is hovering around that price at the bottom end) my vote is just buy it hassle free, sure you could save a couple bucks if you do some gymnastics but it's probably not worth it.

If you like this one then keep it.

imo this car has already seen it's worst depreciation, I'll be very surprised if it's worth less than $10k 5 years from now, unless like Tcoat says there is a new and improved model that makes this thing completely outdated without increasing the price (extremely unlikely) or there's a major reliability problem uncovered that makes high mileage cars extremely undesirable.

Tcoat 08-19-2015 03:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PoRco (Post 2362767)
Really appreciate the replies guys! I have more clarity now.

The way I see it now, and please correct me if I'm wrong, is that even if I DO buy it out (and assuming all things remain the same in the market, i.e no turbo and same availability) then I'd be coming out a couple thousand dollars ahead? (I'd be buying it out at 17k+ taxes, this closer to 18.5k)

I forgot to mention, that if I buy it out, I'm definitely gonna be fixing the cosmetic damage on the back (which may ring me 1k$) It's just been bothering me way too much and my heart pains when I see it.

Also, (just as another posted pointed out) if I get the extended warranty for 2k$, that's another additional cost.

Hmm, my total costs are now looking more like 21k for this car. Not bad tbh.

So it's THAT vs a brand new FRS at another 3 year lease!

(Oh btw, I'm getting the 1k student rebate this time , since I just completed my masters.)

Decisions decisions..

Looking at a $31K car with the repairs not a $21K one (Hope your MB isn't in accounting. JOKE). Since many of these cars were listed at $30k+ (Canada eh, before you US guys all pipe up that is too much) you really won't be paying that much more for it then if you had bought outright.
I would skip the extended warranty as it does not really do that much for you.
If you are happy with the one you have just keep it and think of the little bit extra you paid as a trial fee. There are guys that took way worse beatings then that on their cars.

MisterSheep 08-19-2015 03:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PoRco (Post 2362777)
Wow! Thanks for this thread.

And yes, I've had tail light issues too. Got that fixed.

Going into first does feel clunky sometimes, especially when I compare this to my friends ford.

This is my first car and first MT, so I dont have much to compare it too!

What I have found out with this car is that it has great driving feel but poor clutch feel. I believe there are many threads on this forum regarding;

Fixing clutch adjustment
http://www.ft86club.com/forums/showthread.php?t=8040

Clutch Spring removal
http://www.ft86club.com/forums/showthread.php?t=35621

Swapping the slave Cylinder for better feel
http://www.ft86club.com/forums/showthread.php?t=77390

And other threads regarding the clunky transmission feel. From what I've learned is that a good quality Shifter and some MTEC springs smooths this right up.

strat61caster 08-19-2015 03:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PoRco (Post 2362767)
Hmm, my total costs are now looking more like 21k for this car. Not bad tbh.

$34k by my math, you're not getting your $13k back for the first three years are you?

Which is why buying is generally advised over leasing, you'd be paying off a ~$30k loan + the $1k cosmetic fix. The damage is done and leasing again will just put you deeper in the hole basically calling the past three years a $13k rental, maybe better than buying a $13k car outright but yeah, just food for thought. The important thing here is that you are having a good time and that you're not financially overburdening yourself.

MisterSheep 08-19-2015 03:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tcoat (Post 2362785)
If you are happy with the one you have just keep it and think of the little bit extra you paid as a trial fee. There are guys that took way worse beatings then that on their cars.

The allmighty @Tcoat has spoken.

Tcoat 08-19-2015 03:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MisterSheep (Post 2362792)
The allmighty @Tcoat has spoken.

Your Majesty will do just fine thank you.

venturaII 08-19-2015 03:54 PM

Buy it. You won't get another 2013 with 30K miles for less than the buyout, plus you know this car's history.


Leases only make sense in a very narrow spectrum of use cases.

MokSpeed 08-19-2015 03:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PoRco (Post 2362777)
Yeap, they're leveraging the cosmetic damage to get me to buy from them. They get gain nothing from me returning the car. It's only toyoto that benefits , if I'm correct . Oh, and you raise a valid point about the 2013 models.


Exactly!


It would make absolutely no sense for you. You've already invested well over half the item's value and it's quite apparent that you'd prefer to stay in a FR-S/BRZ. If the only flaws are indeed minor cosmetic then I say keep it. Even if you do end up wanting another vehicle, you're better off buying it out and selling the FR-S privately to retain all those payments you made on the lease.

CatDaddysBBQ 08-19-2015 03:55 PM

The low end of these cars in decent condition without a zillion miles will probably be around 10k. If you think you'll keep it for more than 2-3 yrs more, buy it.

Remember, even if they let you walk away without paying any more money, you now have zero towards the next car. You'll probably buy something more than 17k, so buying this car you have is probably a better deal than anything else out there you would do as an alternative.

Tcoat 08-19-2015 03:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CatDaddysBBQ (Post 2362797)
The low end of these cars in decent condition without a zillion miles will probably be around 10k.

Quick, what are next weeks lotto numbers?

http://www4.pcmag.com/media/images/4...ll.jpg?thumb=y

PoRco 08-19-2015 04:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tcoat (Post 2362785)
Looking at a $31K car with the repairs not a $21K one (Hope your MB isn't in accounting. JOKE). Since many of these cars were listed at $30k+ (Canada eh, before you US guys all pipe up that is too much) you really won't be paying that much more for it then if you had bought outright.

Quote:

Originally Posted by strat61caster (Post 2362789)
$34k by my math, you're not getting your $13k back for the first three years are you?

Oops. Yes. I meant future costs :P I figured 21-23k is what a dealer would sell a 2013 FRS with 30,000km on it (yes?)

I'm leaning towards buying it out even more now! I just needed to make sure it was the right decision!

So if I DO move, I can just take it with me.

MisterSheep 08-19-2015 04:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PoRco (Post 2362807)
Oops. Yes. I meant future costs :P I figured 21-23k is what a dealer would sell a 2013 FRS with 30,000km on it (yes?)

I'm leaning towards buying it out even more now! I just needed to make sure it was the right decision!

So if I DO move, I can just take it with me.


Problem solved!:D

Tcoat 08-19-2015 04:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PoRco (Post 2362807)
Oops. Yes. I meant future costs :P I figured 21-23k is what a dealer would sell a 2013 FRS with 30,000km on it (yes?)

I'm leaning towards buying it out even more now! I just needed to make sure it was the right decision!

So if I DO move, I can just take it with me.

At least $21 to $23 depending on your area. London is still selling 13s for as much as $26 with that many miles.

MisterSheep 08-19-2015 04:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tcoat (Post 2362803)
Quick, what are next weeks lotto numbers?

http://www4.pcmag.com/media/images/4...ll.jpg?thumb=y


:offtopic::sigh: Typical Tcoat..

Tcoat 08-19-2015 04:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MisterSheep (Post 2362813)
:offtopic::sigh: Typical Tcoat..

I can stop. Be all serious and grumpy all the time.

MisterSheep 08-19-2015 04:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tcoat (Post 2362815)
I can stop. Be all serious and grumpy all the time.

:mad0260: <---- I secretly see you doing this at your computer all day

Tcoat 08-19-2015 04:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MisterSheep (Post 2362819)
:mad0260: <---- I secretly see you doing this at your computer all day

Nah, even when I seem pissed off on here it is more like :laughabove:. At worst :slap:. Unless I suspect a troll then :paddle:.

MisterSheep 08-19-2015 04:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tcoat (Post 2362824)
Nah, even when I seem pissed off on here it is more like :laughabove:. At worst :slap:. Unless I suspect a troll then :paddle:.

:threadjacked:

PoRco 08-19-2015 04:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MisterSheep (Post 2362830)
:threadjacked:

Lol :P

It was bound to happen!

Tcoat 08-19-2015 04:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MisterSheep (Post 2362830)
:threadjacked:

go back and look very closely at who started the jacking.

Besides it will go back on topic any second now with about 200 more "buy its" and repeats of the exact same things already said from guys that never read beyond the first post.

strat61caster 08-19-2015 04:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tcoat (Post 2362836)
go back and look very closely at who started the jacking.

Besides it will go back on topic any second now with about 200 more "buy its" and repeats of the exact same things already said from guys that never read beyond the first post.

No way will this car be worth less than $10k 5 years from now.

:cheers:

S84kam 08-19-2015 04:33 PM

dude buy it out! i bought this car new and its worth it

fridayfrs 08-19-2015 10:12 PM

Personally I wouldn't buy a car I leased unless I had no other choice or had bought the money factor way down with MSDs. Otherwise you are paying several thousand mores for the same vehicle. What I would be inclined to try in your shoes assuming you are on a budget is find a buyer for the car for as much as you can get and pocket the difference for either a down payment to purchase or pay as many MSDs on a new loan as you can and lease a new one and see where you are after another 3 years. MSDs just buy sown the interest rate.

Good luck!

bodayguy 08-20-2015 03:12 AM

I've got 9-10 months left on my lease and am facing the decision too.
Suspect I won't keep it.

In your case, if you like it, buy it for sure.
I wouldn't spend the money on the extended warranty however. Don't these have a 5-year powertrain warranty already? That should take care of you.

CatDaddysBBQ 08-20-2015 07:13 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tcoat (Post 2362803)
Quick, what are next weeks lotto numbers?

http://www4.pcmag.com/media/images/4...ll.jpg?thumb=y

No need to be a wise ass, it's pretty clear that it'll be a LOOOONG time before these things drop much lower. Right now a 10yr old Corolla can still cost over 7500, so the likelihood of our cars being much under 10k ten years old seems unlikely.

Tcoat 08-20-2015 08:14 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CatDaddysBBQ (Post 2363548)
No need to be a wise ass, it's pretty clear that it'll be a LOOOONG time before these things drop much lower. Right now a 10yr old Corolla can still cost over 7500, so the likelihood of our cars being much under 10k ten years old seems unlikely.

Was a joke dude, was a joke. Everything said here is not in anger.
I agree it is likely to be well above $10K but to say it as an absolute is not realistic. If I could accurately predict the value of every car 8 years in the future I would be a rich retired guy by now.

raven1231 08-20-2015 08:19 AM

daba daba daba. Jarga jarga jarga.


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