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-   BRZ Second-Gen (2022+) — General Topics (https://www.ft86club.com/forums/forumdisplay.php?f=98)
-   -   2023 Production (https://www.ft86club.com/forums/showthread.php?t=149793)

autosenses 05-15-2022 05:07 PM

2023 Production
 
Does anyone have insider info when Subaru will start 2023 production? I have a 2023 on order and just need to narrow down a time frame. I really don't want to miss AutoX this season.

timurrrr 05-15-2022 05:58 PM

My local dealer just told me that they expect 2023 BRZs to start coming in around September.

autosenses 05-16-2022 07:21 AM

Yeah, my dealer said November. Even my salesman said that is estimated... So could it be earlier?

Tcoat 05-16-2022 08:33 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by autosenses (Post 3523284)
Yeah, my dealer said November. Even my salesman said that is estimated... So could it be earlier?

It may be earlier.
It may be later.
Maybe none at all.
Maybe many units over plan.
Not sure how many times I need to say this but it doesn't matter what "used' to happen or what they "normally" do.
The dealers don't know.
At this point the plant doesn't know.
Expect this scenario to last at least another year.

OkieSnuffBox 05-16-2022 10:26 AM

I ordered mine 3 weeks ago and was told August-September. And I think a few others have received a similar date.

However, I won't be surprised if it's not here until Oct-Nov.

ZeroSum 05-16-2022 04:13 PM

I'm choosing to believe late October/November, as that will be the least convenient for me. Well, aside from December or January. But it can't possibly be that long... Right...?

autosenses 05-16-2022 08:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ZeroSum (Post 3523418)
I'm choosing to believe late October/November, as that will be the least convenient for me. Well, aside from December or January. But it can't possibly be that long... Right...?

that's what I'm worried about. In upstate NY November is Winter Storage month. No use for the car in November, let alone Dec. or January. I won't accept delivery.

Tcoat 05-16-2022 08:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by autosenses (Post 3523462)
that's what I'm worried about. In upstate NY November is Winter Storage month. No use for the car in November, let alone Dec. or January. I won't accept delivery.

Then spring will roll around and all of a sudden there won't be one to be had.

soundman98 05-17-2022 12:02 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by autosenses (Post 3523462)
that's what I'm worried about. In upstate NY November is Winter Storage month. No use for the car in November, let alone Dec. or January. I won't accept delivery.

even last year? because i didn't even see snow till january...


lol, yeah, they'll just hold on to it, and park it outside next to the salted roads for you...

autosenses 05-17-2022 06:38 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tcoat (Post 3523467)
Then spring will roll around and all of a sudden there won't be one to be had.

Good point...guess I have no choice. If the roads are gross then ill just put it in the garage and wait. lol

Petah78 05-17-2022 08:17 AM

With interest rates going up and the market continues to tumble, I think you will have a much easier time finding a 2023 next year. Supply issue won't be fixed but there will also be less demand given the deteriorating markets. Just my thoughts.

Tcoat 05-17-2022 08:45 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Petah78 (Post 3523520)
With interest rates going up and the market continues to tumble, I think you will have a much easier time finding a 2023 next year. Supply issue won't be fixed but there will also be less demand given the deteriorating markets. Just my thoughts.

Interest rates, gas prices and just the overall instability are all going to impact the 2023 sales but if they don't manage to fulfill the demand on the 2022s then getting a 2023 may not be as easy as you may expect. In a normal year they would plan a very large number for the new release and then tapper that down each following year. As we have seen here this has been anything but a normal new release. The good news is that they know the issues so will likely deviate from the standard plan and if able, make more 23s than the original schedule would have planned for.

Petah78 05-17-2022 09:36 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tcoat (Post 3523521)
Interest rates, gas prices and just the overall instability are all going to impact the 2023 sales but if they don't manage to fulfill the demand on the 2022s then getting a 2023 may not be as easy as you may expect. In a normal year they would plan a very large number for the new release and then tapper that down each following year. As we have seen here this has been anything but a normal new release. The good news is that they know the issues so will likely deviate from the standard plan and if able, make more 23s than the original schedule would have planned for.

Fair, but i feel some of the 2022 demand will also vanish with the ongoing craziness in the markets. As well, some buyers might only be getting a new car now because of strong used car prices but i think there will be an adjustment to that as well.

Tcoat 05-17-2022 09:51 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Petah78 (Post 3523530)
Fair, but i feel some of the 2022 demand will also vanish with the ongoing craziness in the markets. As well, some buyers might only be getting a new car now because of strong used car prices but i think there will be an adjustment to that as well.

Agree on most cars but as we see here these are a bit different. What should happen (notice the use of the word should) is that the mark ups we are currently seeing would go away and that should balance out buyers that drop out for other reasons.

I do know that at this point in time I am very, very glad that I do not make my living trying to sell new cars!

Petah78 05-17-2022 10:25 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tcoat (Post 3523532)
Agree on most cars but as we see here these are a bit different. What should happen (notice the use of the word should) is that the mark ups we are currently seeing would go away and that should balance out buyers that drop out for other reasons.

I do know that at this point in time I am very, very glad that I do not make my living trying to sell new cars!

Debatable. For example, I am only upgrading from a 17 to a 22 because i can get top notch price on my trade in now. If i only got "normal" market value on my 17, I would never go through with it. And if anything, sportscar sales is the first segment to be impacted by a financial down turn.

All this to say, demand is going to be negatively affected by the current financial market condition, just a matter if it's enough to lower demand enough to make them more accessible than 2022. And this is assuming there is going to be a market down turn at all. No one have a crystal ball. :)

Tcoat 05-17-2022 10:35 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Petah78 (Post 3523539)
Debatable. For example, I am only upgrading from a 17 to a 22 because i can get top notch price on my trade in now. If i only got "normal" market value on my 17, I would never go through with it. And if anything, sportscar sales are the first segment to be impacted by a financial down turn.

All this to say, demand is going to be negatively affected by the current financial market condition, just a matter if it's enough to lower demand enough to make them more accessible than 2022. And this is assuming there is going to be a market down turn at all. No one have a crystal ball. :)

As long as there isn't enough of a reduction for them to say "screw it these just are not worth making anymore".
The standard 3 years parts contracts have very few escape clauses but if there continue to be worldwide emergencies every few months then the few that there are could bee put into play and the car simply dropped.
This of course is a very extreme scenario.

Petah78 05-17-2022 11:35 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tcoat (Post 3523543)
As long as there isn't enough of a reduction for them to say "screw it these just are not worth making anymore".
The standard 3 years parts contracts have very few escape clauses but if there continue to be worldwide emergencies every few months then the few that there are could bee put into play and the car simply dropped.
This of course is a very extreme scenario.

FYI, I am not suggesting that Suby/Toyota will cancel the model all together. Just wasn't sure if the 2023 car will be as hard to acquire when compared to the 2022 car.

And history have proofed that plenty of sportscar projects/models were cancelled because of market conditions. But again, I doubt this will be the case with the Gen2 twins because of it's age in the model life cycle. Tooling/R&D investment costs are sunk at this time so they will just keep making them for the interim. But if the market down turn/recession persists or gets worse, you might see a shorter product life cycle as originally planned. I am actually surprised they killed off the STi to focus on electrification.

jvincent 05-17-2022 12:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by autosenses (Post 3523512)
Good point...guess I have no choice. If the roads are gross then ill just put it in the garage and wait. lol

You guys need to stop keeping these as garage queens and drive them in the winter. They are a blast in the snow.

I took delivery of mine on Jan 13 BTW.

Tcoat 05-17-2022 01:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jvincent (Post 3523575)
You guys need to stop keeping these as garage queens and drive them in the winter. They are a blast in the snow.

I took delivery of mine on Jan 13 BTW.

https://media4.giphy.com/media/xUNd9...=200w.gif&ct=g

ZeroSum 05-17-2022 02:17 PM

I'll be driving mine in every snow storm I can. Like jvincent said, cars like this are great in the snow with the right tires.

The inconvenience to me will be that I immediately have to get a set of winter wheels/tires instead of having a few months on the summer tires.

jvincent 05-17-2022 04:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ZeroSum (Post 3523600)
The inconvenience to me will be that I immediately have to get a set of winter wheels/tires instead of having a few months on the summer tires.

Because of when I took delivery my FRS that I traded in had winters on it. So I very carefully drove from the dealer to my tire guy, about 2km, and put the winters on the OEM 18" wheels. :burnrubber:

soundman98 05-17-2022 10:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jvincent (Post 3523575)
You guys need to stop keeping these as garage queens and drive them in the winter. They are a blast in the snow.

I took delivery of mine on Jan 13 BTW.

people tell me this about driving a 4x4 truck in the mud.

it's great driving in snow in the car, and a whole lot of fun driving the truck through mud. i don't deny that.

but i end up paying for it with extreme maintenance. bolts no longer just 'rust'. they become 1-time-use rivets. i plan brake jobs to take all day. it usually takes longer.

so the car stays inside for winter, really just to make it last longer, and because i still mostly enjoy tinkering/wrenching on it, and exposing it to the chicagoland salt flats would just make it another car.

LRNAD90 05-18-2022 01:28 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by soundman98 (Post 3523733)
people tell me this about driving a 4x4 truck in the mud.

it's great driving in snow in the car, and a whole lot of fun driving the truck through mud. i don't deny that.

but i end up paying for it with extreme maintenance. bolts no longer just 'rust'. they become 1-time-use rivets. i plan brake jobs to take all day. it usually takes longer.

so the car stays inside for winter, really just to make it last longer, and because i still mostly enjoy tinkering/wrenching on it, and exposing it to the chicagoland salt flats would just make it another car.

I agree, this sounds like the wisdom of age/experience. If you don't plan to tinker with it, and turn cars over regularly, this may not apply, but I'm the type that holds on to cars I like (far too long in many cases) and I like to work on them..

autosenses 05-18-2022 11:06 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jvincent (Post 3523575)
You guys need to stop keeping these as garage queens and drive them in the winter. They are a blast in the snow.

I took delivery of mine on Jan 13 BTW.

I have a daily and the snow/salt here kills the car.

OkieSnuffBox 05-18-2022 12:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jvincent (Post 3523575)
You guys need to stop keeping these as garage queens and drive them in the winter. They are a blast in the snow.

I took delivery of mine on Jan 13 BTW.

My last BRZ was driven through winter on Direzza Star Specs.

Of course, we don't typically get real winter here. :D

Dzmitry 05-18-2022 04:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by autosenses (Post 3523847)
I have a daily and the snow/salt here kills the car.

That's about my stance on this. I only avoid using it on snow days for the reason of salt and the need to then clean it off all around and underneath the car ASAP afterwards. At least that's how I would care for it in that situation as I'm a bit of a neat freak with it. But if the roads didn't get salted like they do around here, the snow wouldn't deter me one bit.

Ever since we had a pretty major storm several years ago that was not very expected and the roads weren't prepped, our county takes extra measure to salt the hell out of the roads a day or two before a quarter inch of snow is coming.

autosenses 05-19-2022 06:58 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dzmitry (Post 3523953)
That's about my stance on this. I only avoid using it on snow days for the reason of salt and the need to then clean it off all around and underneath the car ASAP afterwards. At least that's how I would care for it in that situation as I'm a bit of a neat freak with it. But if the roads didn't get salted like they do around here, the snow wouldn't deter me one bit.

Ever since we had a pretty major storm several years ago that was not very expected and the roads weren't prepped, our county takes extra measure to salt the hell out of the roads a day or two before a quarter inch of snow is coming.

Exactly. My county/state sprays every Chloride mix imaginable the day before the temps drop below 30's.

Anyway, to get back o track on this thread..

Anyone else constantly looking and calling dealers? Couple toyota dealers just got GR's in. Auto's of course... I'm not anti Auto just looking for 6spd.

DNAcomposition 05-19-2022 01:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by autosenses (Post 3524089)
Exactly. My county/state sprays every Chloride mix imaginable the day before the temps drop below 30's.

Anyway, to get back o track on this thread..

Anyone else constantly looking and calling dealers? Couple toyota dealers just got GR's in. Auto's of course... I'm not anti Auto just looking for 6spd.

I stopped the daily internet searches after I submitted my order. It's given me peace of mind, but now have to endure the long wait until my VIN gets generated and the dealership gives me an ETA for delivery.

Desertnate 05-19-2022 04:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by autosenses (Post 3524089)
Anyone else constantly looking and calling dealers? Couple toyota dealers just got GR's in. Auto's of course... I'm not anti Auto just looking for 6spd.

I saw this before stumbling onto my BRZ. Every dealer listing I saw and the couple I talked to all had inbound allocations of GR86's with only auto's, no manuals. Not sure why. The salesman I spoke with at our local dealership was pretty frustrated because potential customers he spoke with all wanted a manual. He had nothing to offer since Toyota wasn't doing orders at that time.


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