| Irace86.2.0 |
05-29-2021 01:41 PM |
I think it would be great to figure out exactly where the virus originated from because knowing that could be important for avoiding a future event. There are only a few possibilities:
1) It evolved naturally from social species like bats or birds and passed to humans because of contamination or interactions—likely.
2) It evolved naturally in livestock or in wet markets and passed to humans—likely.
3) It evolved in 1) or 2), and it was brought to a lab to study, and it got out—possible.
4) Same as 3), but it was further developed in ‘gain of function’ research and accidentally got out—possible.
5) Same as 4), but it was intended as a biological weapon—unlikely given that the Wuhan Institute of Virology isn’t a military facility and is centered in such a public place.
6) Same as 5), but it was intentionally released on its own population, a la V for Vendetta—highly unlikely.
Solutions:
1) Do what we do already and try to screen species for emerging viruses, while improving sanitation and food preparation standards. Unlikely to contain all future pandemics.
2) Eat less meat. Close wet markets. Reduce the dependency on cultures eating wild animals—unlikely.
3) Improve lab practices to avoid the possibility of infection in employees. Unlikely because people are fallible and corporations are built to save money or do the bare minimum. Most of the time improvements are short lived unless they are building code standards.
4) Stop ‘gain of function’ research or increase standards and oversight for those practices. Need to weigh the benefits versus the consequences. Unlikely to stop internationally.
5) Point international fingers at said country—likely. Apply sanctions and international oversight to nation caught experimenting with biological weapons—possible. Possibly get remedial reparations—unlikely. Skip to war—extremely unlikely and should be avoided.
6) Same as 5), and the citizens of said nation should hold their government accountable and purge those responsible—unlikely. Skip to revolution—extremely unlikely.
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